Service Plays Wednesday 3/17/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pick 'n' Roll: Today's best NBA bets

New York Knicks at Boston Celtics (-9.5, 208.5)

Mike D’Antoni ended the Tracy McGrady point guard experiment and the results have been fruitful.

Rookie Toney Douglas has assumed the starting quarterback role for the past two games and New York has gone 2-0 SU and ATS, winning as 2.5- and 10.5-point underdogs. The former Florida State Seminole averaged 20.5 points and 7.5 assists in the two victories.

"The coaches have a lot of confidence in me," Douglas said. "I have confidence in myself. I feel comfortable."

The Knicks put a halt to the Mavericks 13-game winning streak in Dallas on Friday with a 29-point rout and parlayed the confidence from that game into a road win over the 76ers on Monday.

Three of New York’s last four wins have come as underdogs of seven points or more so a moneyline play on Wednesday might be considered, but grabbing the points is a safer bet.

Pick: Knicks


New Orleans Hornets at Golden State Warriors (-3, 229)

The Warriors look to avoid the dreaded season-sweep at the hands of the Hornets on Wednesday.

Although Golden State hasn’t won a game against New Orleans this season, the team is 2-1 ATS in the series with both covers coming on the road.

And even with a depleted lineup the Warriors have been sticking around in ballgames lately, going 4-0 ATS in their last four and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games.

Those last 10 outings came against formidable competition such as Los Angeles, Orlando, Atlanta, Denver, Charlotte and Portland so the struggling Hornets should be a welcome sight.

Sharps have already nailed this spread which opened at Warriors -2 so don’t delay because this number could be -4 by gametime tomorrow. The Hornets are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10.

Pick: Warriors

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Opening Round Trends

The 2010 NCAA Tournament has arrived and with it once final chance to pad our bankrolls for the season. To make that shining moment happen, let’s take a look at how teams in this event have fared most recently in the past.

NCAA TOURNEY – MOST RECENT TRENDS

• #1 Seeds are 76-0 SU (42-33-1 ATS) vs #16 Seeds

• #2 Seeds are 72-4 SU (31-41-4 ATS) vs #15 Seeds

• Only twice since 1988 has a #12 Seed failed to beat a #5 Seed (3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS LY)

• Favs of 7 > pts who are 3-0 SU & ATS in their last 3 games are 15-29-1 ATS vs a foe off a SU win

• Favs of 4 > & < 12 pts playing an opponent off BB SU dog wins are 38-14-1 ATS (27-6-1 ATS L9Y)

• Favs of 20 > pts are 2-12 ATS vs a foe off a SU win

• Dogs of > 3 pts playing off a SU Tourney win as a dog of 6 > pts are 10-31-1 ATS last 10 years

• Dogs of 18 > pts off a DD ATS win are 6-1 ATS

• Dogs of < 8 pts off BB Tourney dog wins are 3-16 ATS

Because it’s my belief that success in handicapping this tournament is paramount to breaking the action down into rounds, let’s take a peek at some of the more relevant results that have occurred in ROUND ONE games of late:

FIRST ROUND NOTES

• #1 Seeds off BB SU wins & favs of < 25 pts are 12-2 ATS

• #2 Seeds are 6-20-4 ATS vs foes off a SU win (3-12 L8Y)

• #3 Seeds off a SU favorite loss are 28-1 SU & 21-7-1 ATS (5-0 L3Y)

• #4 Seeds are 25-12 ATS as favorites of < 9 pts (8-2 L4Y)

• #9 Seeds are 2-6 ATS as favorites of 3 > pts

• Favs of < 8 pts are 10-1 ATS vs a foe off BB SUATS wins (last as dog)

Conference Tournament Champs in this round

ACC: 1-5 ATS, Atlantic 10: 1-4 ATS, Big 10: 2-4 ATS, Big 12: 3-5 ATS, Big East: 2-13 ATS, Big West: 1-4 ATS, Colonial: 12-5 ATS, C-USA: 1-5 ATS, Horizon: 6-2 ATS, MAC: 2-3 ATS, Missouri Valley: 1-4 ATS, Mountain West: 3-7 ATS, Pac-10: 4-1 ATS, Sun Belt: 4-4 ATS, SEC: 2-4 ATS, WAC: 1-4 ATS, West Coast: 2-6 ATS.

Best Team SU records in this round

Purdue: 11-0, Maryland: 9-0, Georgetown: 4-0, Louisville: 4-0, Missouri: 4-0, Oklahoma St: 4-0, Texas A&M: 4-0, Kentucky: 16-1, Duke: 12-1, Pittsburgh: 7-1, Texas: 7-1, Wisconsin: 7-1.

Worst Team SU records in this round

BYU: 0-7, Northern Iowa: 0-4, Utah St: 0-4, Clemson: 0-3.

Best Team ATS records in this round

Xavier: 5-0-2, Arizona St: 4-0, Georgetown: 4-0, Texas A&M: 4-0, Kansas: 3-0, Butler: 5-1, Florida St: 4-1, West Virginia: 4-1.

Worst Team ATS records in this round

Gonzaga: 0-5, Clemson: 0-4, Duke: 0-4, Memphis: 0-3, Marquette: 1-6, Tennessee: 1-6, Georgia Tech: 1-5. Ohio St: 1-4.

Best Conference ATS records in this round

Big 12: 13-1, Big 10: 12-5-1, Colonial: 12-5, Missouri Valley: 13-6, Horizon: 8-4.

Worst Conference ATS records in this round

Ivy: 1-8, West Coast: 1-7, WAC: 1-4, Mountain West: 2-6.


If this is not enough to get your blood flowing then you are seriously in need of a cardiologist.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ice picks: Today's best NHL bets

Pittsburgh Penguins at New Jersey Devils

The Penguins are longing for the crumbling walls of Mellon Arena. Pittsburgh has won just two of its first three games on the team’s current five-game road swing, which takes the Penguins to New Jersey Wednesday.

Pittsburgh snapped a two-game losing skid with a tough 2-1 win in Tampa Bay Sunday. The Penguins managed to pepper Lightning goaltender Antero Niittymaki with 39 shots but got just two goals in return, playing under the 6-goal total.

The Pens have scored a total of six goals during this road trip and may be without superstar forward Evgeni Malkin for Wednesday’s game against the Devils. Malkin is nursing a sore foot after taking a shot off his skate this weekend.

Pittsburgh has played under the betting total in three of its last four games and is 0-5 over/under in five straight meetings with New Jersey.

Pick: Under


Chicago Blackhawks at Anaheim Ducks

The young Blackhawks are looking for answers as they try to avoid a three-game losing streak as they head out West for three games.

Chicago has dropped back-to-back contests heading into Wednesday including a 4-3 overtime affair with the Washington Capitals this weekend. The Capitals scored three unanswered goals in the third period to force overtime than got the game winner from Nicklas Backstrom early into the extra frame.

"Frustrating weekend, considering we got one point instead of four," captain Jonathan Toews told reporters. "We've got the most skill in the league, on any team. There's no reason, up 3-0, we can't go out and finish the team off."

The Blackhawks will turn to their veterans out West. Luckily, sniper Marian Hossa returned to practice Tuesday after missing Sunday’s game with an upper-body injury. Hossa has 20 goals on the season and is fifth on the team in scoring with 40 points.

With a healthy Hossa leading the way for the team’s young guns, don’t expect Chicago to stay down for long.

Pick: Chicago

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WEDNESDAY NBA TIPS

The Wednesday NBA card is a strong one with 11 games on the slate. Several matchups involve playoff teams, including three Southeast Division squads enthralled in intriguing showdowns. Two of the league's biggest surprise squads hook up for a crucial meeting in Charlotte to lead off the night.

Thunder (41-24 SU, 39-26 ATS) at Bobcats (34-31 SU, 36-29 ATS)

Oklahoma City and Charlotte are red-hot, each riding substantial winning streaks when the two meet at Time Warner Cable Arena (7:00 PM EST). The Thunder has won five straight and eight of nine while the Bobcats are riding a five-game hot streak heading into Tuesday's game at Indiana.

The Bobcats are taking care of their business at home, winning five of six on their court after a shocking loss to the Nets to begin the second half of the season. Charlotte is 4-2 ATS the last six with no rest, while finishing 'under' the total in seven of the last nine overall. Swingman Gerald Wallace is listed as 'questionable' with a sprained ankle, but the Bobcats managed a solid road underdog win at Orlando without Wallace on Sunday.

The Thunder is 8-3 ATS since late November on the road against teams currently in the playoffs, but has failed in their last two in this spot with losses at Denver and San Antonio. OKC is 7-2 SU the last nine on the road, but the Thunder has cleaned up against some unsubstantial competition (Kings, Clippers, Wolves, Knicks, and Warriors).

These teams met up the day after Christmas at the Ford Center as the Thunder came out with a 98-91 win, covering as six-point home 'chalk.' Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook combined for 52 points in the victory, while the Thunder out-rebounded the Bobcats, 48-36.

Hawks (42-23 SU, 37-28 ATS) at Raptors (32-33 SU, 29-36 ATS)
Atlanta has romped Toronto twice this season as the Hawks conclude a back-to-back stretch against the Raptors (7:00 PM EST). Toronto should be thrilled to be back north of the border after a winless West Coast trip, while going just 1-3 ATS.

The Hawks have beaten the Raptors by 31 and 21 points this season, including a league-high 146 points in a 146-115 thrashing of Toronto in early December. Joe Johnson will likely not play for Atlanta after missing Tuesday's game at New Jersey with an Achilles injury. Playing with no rest hasn't been beneficial for Mike Woodson's team lately, as the Hawks are 3-7 SU/ATS the last ten on the second of a back-to-back.

The Raptors may be close to extinction in the Eastern Conference playoff race if they continue to play like they are now. Jay Triano's club came close to beating the Lakers at the start of their last road trip, falling to L.A., 109-107 on a Kobe Bryant buzzer-beater. Things started to unravel from there as the Raptors managed to lose each of the final three games by double-digits to the Kings, Warriors, and Blazers. Chris Bosh ripped his team following the Golden State loss, allowing 41 third-quarter points to the under-manned Warriors.

Toronto is 1-10 ATS the last 11 games, while going 0-6 ATS in six home contests since the All-Star Break. Atlanta is 1-4 ATS the previous five road games against teams off a loss, while covering just two of its last seven away from Philips Arena.

Spurs (39-25 SU, 33-30-1 ATS) at Magic (47-21, 36-31-1 ATS)

San Antonio continues a two-game swing through the Sunshine State with a nationally televised showdown at Orlando (8:00 PM, EST). The Spurs will be playing with no rest after Tuesday's contest at Miami, as San Antonio has quietly won seven of eight. The Magic had an eight-game winning streak snapped on Sunday against the Bobcats, as Orlando hasn't lost consecutive games since mid-January.

Stan Van Gundy's team is playing fantastic defense, holding seven straight opponents to less than 100 points, while finishing 'under' the total in 10 of the last 13 games. The Magic are just 1-4 ATS the last five at home when laying single-digits, but are 4-1 SU. Orlando is a perfect 9-0 ATS this season at home when failing to cover at home its last time out.

The Spurs are 3-1 SU/ATS since PG Tony Parker broke his hand against the Grizzlies on March 6. San Antonio has been listed as an underdog in only three of the last 24 games coming into Wednesday, while winning outright as 'dogs at Memphis and Denver over the last month.

The Magic are 14-3 ATS and 16-1 SU against teams with no rest, but Orlando's worst ATS mark comes with two days off, as it owns a 4-7-1 ATS ledger. The Spurs have covered five of their last eight on the road with no rest, including three straight victories on the second of a back-to-back overall.

Orlando swept the season series last year, including a 90-78 victory at Amway Arena in December 2008 as 2 ½-point favorites.

What else to watch for:

The Mavs look to bounce back after Saturday's humiliating 128-94 loss to the Knicks, snapping a 13-game winning streak. One of my themes all season in these tip sheets is Dallas' inability to cover as home favorites. Following the setback to New York, the Mavs drop to 2-24-1 ATS the last 27 when laying points at the American Airlines Center. In those 27 games, the Mavs have won just one game by double-digits, a ten-point victory over the Suns on February 17. Dallas hosts a dinged-up Chicago club with Derrick Rose, Luol Deng, and Joakim Noah all hurt.

Two Southwest Division teams on the outside looking in the Western Conference playoff race meet up in Houston as the Rockets host the Grizzlies. Rick Adelman's squad has dispatched Memphis twice this season, including a 101-83 blowout at FedEx Forum in early February. Since that win and cover, the Rockets have failed to cash in consecutive games, coming off Monday's last-second win over the Nuggets (an 0-6 ATS stretch). You can't hold down the Grizzlies on the road, as Memphis is 7-0 SU/ATS since the All-Star Break away from Tennessee.

The Bucks will be on national television for just the third time this season, traveling to Tinseltown to battle the woeful Clippers. Milwaukee failed to cover in a two-point squeaker over Indiana, but the Bucks are still a solid 11-1-1 ATS the last 13 games. The 'under' has also been profitable for Milwaukee lately, hitting it in six straight. Since beating Utah at home to start the month, the Clips have dropped eight in a row while covering just once in this span.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
412 - 300 run 58 %

Bonus Play WED Illinois -6

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NCAA

Season
Straight Up: 3830-1251 (.754)
ATS: 1694-1678 (.502)
ATS Vary Units: 4582-4641 (.497)
Over/Under: 1511-1542 (.495)
Over/Under Vary Units: 2344-2346 (.500)

National Invitation Tournament
Blacksburg Bracket
1st Round at campus sites
RHODE ISLAND 72, Northwestern 69
VIRGINIA TECH 84, Quinnipiac 63
WICHITA STATE 77, Nevada 69
Champaign Bracket
1st Round at campus sites
CINCINNATI 77, Weber State 67
DAYTON 66, Illinois State 62
Illinois 69, STONY BROOK 61
KENT STATE 70, Tulsa 64
Tempe Bracket
1st Round at campus sites
MEMPHIS 72, St. John's 66
MISSISSIPPI 81, Troy 70
College Basketball Invitational
1st Round at campus sites
AKRON 72, Green Bay 66
College of Charleston 76, EASTERN KENTUCKY 74
HOFSTRA 73, Iupui 70
MOREHEAD STATE 69, Colorado State 62
OREGON STATE 63, Boston U. 57
PRINCETON 66, Duquesne 61
CollegeInsider.Com Postseason Tournament
1st Round at campus sites
APPALACHIAN STATE 75, Harvard 69
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT 70, Pacific 67
MARSHALL 85, Western Carolina 70
MISSOURI STATE 70, Middle Tennessee 62
Portland 70, NORTHERN COLORADO 68

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NBA

Season
Straight Up: 669-282 (.703)
ATS: 516-468 (.524)
ATS Vary Units: 1220-1108 (.524)
Over/Under: 486-506 (.490)
Over/Under Vary Units: 644-675 (.488)

CHARLOTTE 95, Oklahoma City 94
CLEVELAND 110, Indiana 94
PHILADELPHIA 101, New Jersey 91
Atlanta 105, TORONTO 102
BOSTON 107, New York 96
ORLANDO 99, San Antonio 93
DALLAS 107, Chicago 98
HOUSTON 105, Memphis 101
UTAH 115, Minnesota 95
GOLDEN STATE 111, New Orleans 110
Milwaukee 100, L.A. CLIPPERS 93

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NHL

Season: 353-235 (.600)

Pittsburgh vs. NEW JERSEY: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
COLORADO 3, Calgary 2
Chicago vs. ANAHEIM: TOO CLOSE TO CALL

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTS ADVISORS

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 17

COLLEGE BASKETBALL

NIT

Northwestern (20-13, 18-9-1 ATS) at Rhode Island (23-9, 12-16-1 ATS)

The Wildcats alternated SU wins and losses over their last seven games, including a 73-58 rout of Indiana as an 8½-point favorite in the opening round of the Big Ten tournament Thursday followed by Friday’s 69-61 loss to Purdue, pushing as an eight-point pup. Not counting the neutral-site Big Ten tourney, Northwestern lost its final seven road games (all in conference), going 3-4 ATS.
Rhode Island seemed ticketed for an NCAA Tournament berth after starting the season 19-3. However, the Rams stumbled from mid-February on, losing six of their final 10. On Saturday, they faced top-seeded Temple in the Atlantic 10 tournament semifinals and got clocked 57-44 as a 3½-point underdog. With that result, Rhode Island enters the NIT in a 3-8 ATS funk (3-6 ATS as a favorite). Also, while the Rams have won 13 of 15 home games, they’re 3-9 ATS in lined contests as a host.
Northwestern made a rare postseason appearance last year, but it didn’t last long, as the Wildcats lost a first-round NIT contest at Tulsa 68-59 as a five-point underdog. Meanwhile, this is the Rams’ third straight NIT appearance, and they went 1-2 SU and 2-1 ATS combined the last two years, though all three were road games.
The Wildcats’ ATS trends are all over the map, as they’re on slides of 1-3-1 on the road, 1-4 against Atlantic 10 opponents and 2-5 on Wednesday. However, they’re also on pointspread surges of 17-7-1 overall, 5-0 in non-conference action, 8-0 after a SU loss, 13-3-1 versus winning teams, 4-1-1 as an underdog and 8-2-1 as a road pup.
Rhode Island is 20-9-1 ATS in its last 30 non-league games, but otherwise it is in pointspread funks of 3-8 overall, 4-14 at home (all as a favorite), 6-13-1 as a favorite anywhere and 1-5 when laying less than seven points at home.
Northwestern is on “over” runs of 13-3 overall, 6-0 on the road, 5-0 as an underdog, 4-0 as a road pup, 16-5 on Wednesday and 19-7 after a SU defeat. Conversely, the Rams carry “under” trends of 4-1 overall, 4-0 on Wednesday and 4-1 as a home chalk of less than seven points.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NORTHWESTERN


Nevada (20-12, 14-15 ATS) at Wichita State (25-9, 13-13-1 ATS)

The Wolf Pack’s three-game SU and ATS winning streak came to a halt in the semifinals of the Western Athletic Conference tournament Friday, as they lost 80-79 to New Mexico State as a 5½-point home favorite. Nevada lost all four of its non-conference road games early in the season (1-3 ATS), giving up an average of 78.5 points per game.
Wichita State has been idle for 10 days, most recently suffering a 67-52 loss to top-seeded Northern Iowa in the Missouri Valley Conference tournament championship game, snapping a three-game winning streak. The Shockers failed to cover as a three-point underdog against Northern Iowa, and they’re just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games (1-3 ATS at home). For the season, Wichita State is unbeaten in 17 home games (6-5 ATS in line action), and it is 26-1 in its last 27 as a host (10-9 ATS).
The Shockers played in the lower-tier College Basketball Invitational postseason tournament a year ago, going 1-1 SU and ATS, with both games played at home. Nevada also played in the CBI last year, losing 79-77 to UTEP as a two-point home favorite in the opening round.
The Wolf Pack are on ATS runs of 5-2 overall, 4-0 in non-conference play and 5-1 versus Missouri Valley foes, but they’re also in pointspread ruts of 1-5 as an underdog of 7 to 12½ points, 2-5 as a road pup, 0-5 as a road ‘dog of 7 to 12½ points and 2-7 on Wednesday. Wichita State has cashed in eight of 11 at home (all as a favorite), eight of 11 after a SU defeat and five of seven on Wednesday, but it is also in ATS slumps of 3-7 overall, 2-5 in non-conference games and 1-5 after a non-cover.
Nevada is on “under” runs of 4-1 on the road, 4-0 as a road ‘dog, 5-0 when grabbing 7 to 12½ points on the road, and 4-0 against the Missouri Valley. However, the Shockers are on “over” streaks of 6-2 in non-league action, 4-1 on Wednesday and 20-7 after a SU defeat.

ATS ADVANTAGE: WICHITA STATE


St. John’s (17-15, 15-13-1 ATS) at Memphis (23-9, 10-17 ATS)

St. John’s started the season with six straight wins and was 10-2 SU by the time the Big East season kicked off on New Year’s Eve. However, things fell apart from there, as the Red Storm won just six of their final 19 games, including a tough 57-55 loss to Marquette in the Big East tournament quarterfinals a week ago tonight (though they covered as a four-point pup). On the bright side, St. John’s cashed in its final three games after a 4-8-1 ATS drought. Also, it won three of its last four true road games (SU and ATS), the only loss coming at then-top-ranked Syracuse.
After four straight strips to the Big Dance under former coach John Calipari – including two Elite Eight showings and an appearance in the 2007 national championship game – the Tigers have been relegated to the NIT for the first time since 2005. Despite ending the regular season on a 7-1 run (4-4 ATS), Memphis’ bubble burst when it lost to Houston 66-65 in the first round of the Conference USA tournament. The Tigers are 16-3 at the FedEx Forum this season, but just 5-9 ATS in lined games.
The last time Memphis went to the NIT, it advanced to the tournament semifinals. Meanwhile, last year St. John’s played in the CBI, losing a first-round game at Richmond 75-69, coming up just short as a five-point road underdog.
The Red Storm are on ATS runs of 5-1 on the road, 4-1 as a road ‘dog, 5-2 in non-conference play and 3-1-1 after a spread-cover. On the downside, they’ve failed to cover in seven of 11 Wednesday contests, 20 of 28 as a ‘dog of 7 to 12½ points and 1-9 when catching that pointspread on the road.
Memphis has covered in 19 of 26 as a home chalk of 7 to 12½ points, but from there the Tigers carry negative ATS trends of 7-16 overall, 1-5 at home (all as a favorite), 0-6 in non-conference action and 4-9 after a non-cover.
It’s been all “unders” for St. John’s lately, including 4-0 in non-league play, 9-2-1 as an underdog of 7 to 12½ points, 19-6-1 on Wednesday and 38-16-1 following an ATS win. On the flip side, Memphis is on “over” runs of 11-5 overall, 8-3 against Big East foes, 4-0 after a SU defeat, 8-1 after a non-cover, 6-1 on Wednesday and 10-4 as a favorite.

ATS ADVANTAGE: ST. JOHN’S


NBA

San Antonio (39-25, 33-30-1 ATS) at Orlando (47-21, 36-31-1 ATS)

Two teams currently playing tremendous basketball clash at Amway Arena, as the Spurs complete a quick two-game Florida road trip with a showdown against the Magic.
San Antonio took a three-game SU and seven-game ATS winning streak to Miami last night and clobbered the Heat 88-76 as a two-point underdog. The Spurs, who jumped out to a 29-14 lead on Miami, are 8-1 SU and ATS in their last nine outings, and during this nine-game push, San Antonio is 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS on the road, the only setback being a 97-95 loss at Cleveland eight days ago. Still, yesterday’s victory in Miami pushed the Spurs just one game over .500 on the highway (16-15, 15-16 ATS).
Orlando’s season-high eight-game winning streak came to an end in Sunday’s 96-89 home loss to Charlotte as an 8½-point favorite. With the defeat, the Magic also saw a three-game overall ATS uptick and a six-game home winning streak (5-1 ATS) snapped. Still, going back to Jan. 20, Orlando is 21-6 SU and it hasn’t dropped consecutive games over this span. For the season, the Magic are 27-7 at Amway Arena (19-15 ATS).
The Magic ended a three-game SU and ATS losing skid to San Antonio last year, sweeping the season series with a 90-78 home win as a 2½-point chalk and a 105-98 road victory as a three-point underdog. The SU winner has cashed in each of the last nine meetings.
In addition to cashing in eight straight games overall and five straight on the road, the Spurs are on ATS surges of 10-1 against the Southeast Division, 5-1 as an underdog (all on the road) and 6-1 versus winning teams. The Magic have covered in five of seven at home and four straight on Wednesday, but they’re also in ATS funks of 2-8 against Southwest Division squads, 2-6 versus teams with a winning record and 0-4 when laying between five and 10½ points.
The Spurs are on “under” stretches of 6-1 overall, 15-6 on the road, 6-0 as a ‘dog (all on the highway), 11-3-1 in Eastern Conference games, 37-16-2 versus the Southeast Division, 8-1 versus winning teams, 3-1-1 on Wednesday and 18-7-1 when playing on back-to-back nights. Also, Orlando is riding “under” streaks of 24-8-1 overall, 15-5-1 at home, 36-16-1 against the Western Conference, 7-1 versus the Southwest Division, 7-1 when playing after two days off, 4-1 on Wednesday, 22-6-1 as a favorite and 8-1 as a chalk of five to 12½ points.
However, the over has cashed in seven of the last nine Spurs-Magic battles in Orlando.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER

 

[JDizzle311]

Craig Davis
Craig Davis
Wednesday's Lineup

20 Dime – THUNDER

10 Dime – BOSTON UNIVERSITY

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER --- No, this selection has nothing to do with the fact the Bobcats had their six-game winning streak ended by Indiana last night... trailing once by 17 points before dropping a 99-94 setback. This selection is all about the OKC Thunder and the talent they are finally tapping in to. Remember, this is basically the same team that struggled much of last season. So what's different this year? Well for starters, the bench play has far outdone itself this year, with solid contributions from Serge Ibaka, James Harden, Nick Collison and even Kyle Weaver. The bench was a big problem for the Thunder last year as the coaching staff could ill-afford to give Durant, Westbrook or Green any reasonable time on the bench without getting majorly outscored. That's all changed the year.

Speaking of changes... how about the OKC free throw shooting?!?! The Thunder are just small percentage points behind the Dallas Mavericks in terms of overall free throw percentage and currently sit in second place in the entire NBA. Teams that can draw fouls and then convert at the line are going to find themselves in the playoffs... it's that simple.

And thirdly, the chemistry on this team has improved 300%. James Harden, though he's not playing right now because of injury, was a great draft pick for this team... even though he's hardly the best rookie in the 2009 NBA Draft Class. Many of the guys hang out more than players from most teams in the NBA because there's really not a whole heck of a lot to do in OKC. It's hard to get in trouble; it's hard to meet a ton of people; it's just easier to hang out with your teammates until you take a road trip.

I'm not going to give you any ATS trends or any other meaningless stats tonight... I'm simply going to tell you that the OKC Thunder are the better overall team, they have the best player on the floor, and Charlotte will likely be without one of their best players in Gerald Wallace. At a basic pick 'em, I like the Thunder to steal one in Charlotte.

BOSTON U --- I'll admit, I haven't really followed Boston U much this season. But one thing I know about them is they are tough... they don't go down without a fight. They've won 8 of their last 10 conference games by an average of more than 10 PPG. The problem when handicapping a team like Boston is that none of us has really watched much of their game play, so I have to go off what I read from those who watch them on a game-by-game basis. The one thing I do know is that this team is playing its best basketball at the right time, posting a 6-1 February record, losing one home game to Vermont... a game they should have won... and then made mince meat out of Hartford and Stony Brook in the conference tourney before eventually falling in the championship game to Vermont.

Despite the good and the bad of the Boston program, this selection basically comes down to the fact I don't trust Oregon State to cover any sort of chalk. This team is 14-17 for a reason... they're not very good. OSU lost four of its last six games to close the season and they barely score 60 PPG. In fact, the Beavers scored more than 63 points in just two of their last 10 games while Boston averages 70 PPG and has scored more than 75 points 13 times this year. It's hard for me to fathom a team that averages 60 points per game beating anyone by 8 points... which would mean Boston scores in the low- to mid-50s... and I just don't see that happening. Take the Terriers plus the number.

BOUGHT, PAID CONFIRMED! GOOD LUCK!
THIS WEEK: +30 DIMES
LAST WEEK: + 121 DIMES

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Karl Garrett

20 DIMER - TROY TROJANS

20 DIMER - WICHITA STATE SHOCKERS

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ultra Sports (NBA)

12-1 NBA RUN

SMART MONEY MOVE - UTAH JAZZ -



next update 6:30pm est

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Cincinnati -10.5/Weber St

Wichita St -8/Nevada

Mighty Q lost with Seton Hall on Tuesday.

-130 sirignanos

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Brandon Lang

Wednesday's Selection

5 DIME - ST. JOHN'S RED STORM


FREE PICK - PRINCETON TIGERS

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

RedZone Sports/Jr. O'Donnell

free internet play: Rhode Island (NCAAB)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Insider Sports Report

4* St. John's +7 (Range: +8.5 to +4.5)
3* Wisconsin-Green Bay/Akron OVER 133 (Range: 131.5 to 135)
3* Middle Tennessee St./Missouri St. OVER 131.5 (Range: 130 to 133.5)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Rocketman Sports

3* (#639) Quinnipiac +14 1/2
3* (#650) Stony Brook +6 1/2

 

[Sleez]

Lance's Lock
Pick: Witchita St. -8
Overall: 927-820-35

Current Streak: 5 losses

 

[big-ben]

anyone got TSG (The Sharp Group Handicapping ) picks ???